MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 13:41:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
Ajax

Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 3
Ajax

Edvardsen (44'), Kramer (58')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brobbey (27'), Tahirovic (45+4'), Rensch (72')
Hlynsson (53'), Medic (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Hannover
Sunday, January 7 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 Ajax

After the winter break, both teams will be looking to make their mark, and an extended period without a game could have benefitted both clubs. Nevertheless, Ajax look a strong outfit under this management, and we are backing them to run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAjax
41.37% (-0.722 -0.72) 21.09% (0.285 0.29) 37.54% (0.443 0.44)
Both teams to score 73.02% (-1.093 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.04% (-1.401 -1.4)25.96% (1.408 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.84% (-1.825 -1.83)46.16% (1.832 1.83)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (-0.81899999999999 -0.82)13.83% (0.824 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.8% (-1.649 -1.65)41.2% (1.655 1.66)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.452 -0.45)15.26% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06% (-0.857 -0.86)43.94% (0.865 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 41.37%
    Ajax 37.54%
    Draw 21.09%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.81% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.247 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-3 @ 1.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 3.02% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.11% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.212 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.216 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs Ajax

Go Ahead Eagles
11.8%
Draw
5.9%
Ajax
82.4%
17
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 1pm
Club Friendlies
Ajax
0-1
Go Ahead Eagles
Baeten (34')
Apr 2, 2023 11.15am
Oct 1, 2022 7pm
Feb 27, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Go Ahead Eagles
2-1
Ajax
Cordoba (18'), Rommens (45+2')
Martina (41')
Berghuis (64')
Nov 7, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Martinez (42'), Alvarez (49')
Lucassen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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