Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Brobbey (35', 48')
Berghuis (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thy (60', 89')
Velanas (30'), Garcia McNulty (54'), Vellios (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
66.13% ( -0.83)	17.07% ( 0.22)	16.79% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 67.31% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.09% (

0.07)

24.9% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.21% (

0.09)

44.79% (

-0.09)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.83% (

-0.14)

7.17% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.93% (

-0.36)

26.07% (

0.37)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

0.67)

27.48% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.02% (

0.86)

62.98% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Ajax 66.13%

PEC Zwolle 16.79%

Draw 17.07%

Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.05% Total : 66.13%	1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.07%	1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.95% Total : 16.79%