Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Brian Brobbey 8' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 42' goal
  • goal Camiel Neghli 55'
  • yellowcard Jonathan de Guzman 68'

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2023 7.00pm
RKC Waalwijk 2 - 3 Ajax
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 8.00pm
Heracles 0 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Tobias Lauritsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result

Ajax 53.84% (-0.25)
Draw 21.3% (+0.13)
Sparta Rotterdam 24.85% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.34% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.86% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 34.14% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 43.97% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 56.03% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 25.42% (-0.45)
Under 4.5 74.58% (+0.45)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 87.13% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 12.87% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 60.74% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 39.26% (+0.48)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 73.84% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 26.16% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 38.76% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 61.24% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Ajax 53.84%
Draw 21.3%
Sparta Rotterdam 24.85%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.08% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.9% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 53.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.37% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.3%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2 @ 6.21% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.51% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.03% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dusan Tadic 6' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 27' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 64' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 84' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jonathan de Guzman 14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 32'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 37'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Apr 9, 2022 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Davy Klaassen 49' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 62' goal
  • goal Joeri de Kamps 33'
  • yellowcard Joeri de Kamps 50'
  • yellowcard Adil Auassar 61'
  • yellowcard Mario Engels 64'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mario Engels 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Bryan Smeets 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Dusan Tadic 36'
  • yellowcard David Neres 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jurrien Maduro 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2021 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Sebastien Haller 14' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 37' goal
  • Perr Schuurs 45'+4' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 50' goal
  • goal Danzell Gravenberch 53'
  • yellowcard Michael Heylen 55'
  • goal Danzell Gravenberch 90'+1'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Michael Heylen 54' yellowcard
  • Michael Pinto 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 17'
  • redcard Nicolas Tagliafico 27'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 28'
  • goal Antony 37'
  • yellowcard Andre Onana 86'