Europa League
Dec 14, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Chuba Akpom 5' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 8' yellowcard
  • Borna Sosa 10' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Taylor 20' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 54' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 56' goal
  • Josip Sutalo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Levi Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Nordin Amrabat 15'
  • yellowcard Domagoj Vida 35'
  • yellowcard Harold Moukoudi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matias Almeyda 58'

Ajax vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 30, 2023 8.00pm
Marseille 4 - 3 Ajax

AEK Athens

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
AEK Athens 0 - 1 Brighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 49.66% (-0.01)
Draw 21.77% (+0.01)
AEK Athens 28.58% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.25% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.85% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 33.14% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 45.11% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 54.89% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 26.39% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 73.61% (+0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 86.18% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.82% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.83% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.17% (+0.01)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 76.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.99% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ajax 49.66%
Draw 21.77%
AEK Athens 28.58%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13%
4-1 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 49.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.77%
AEK Athens
1-2 @ 6.78% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.58%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Domagoj Vida 40' yellowcard
  • Orbelin Pineda 51' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Vida 74' goal
  • Sergio Araujo 89' yellowcard
  • Nordin Amrabat 90' yellowcard
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 30'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 56'
  • yellowcard Josip Sutalo 61'
Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 27, 2018 5.55pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marios Oikonomou 29' yellowcard
  • Dmytro Chygrynskiy 51' yellowcard
  • Marko Livaja 53' yellowcard
  • Marko Livaja 67' redcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lasse Schone 19'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 60'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 68'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 72'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2018 5.55pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 46' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 74' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 75' yellowcard
  • Donny van de Beek 77' goal
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 88' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alef 72'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 74'