KNVB Beker
Dec 21, 2023 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Tim Pieters 16' goal
  • Deveron Fonville 42' yellowcard
  • Christiaan van Hussen 44' yellowcard
  • Tim Pieters 66' goal
  • Mats Grotenbreg 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Gaston Avila 44'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 75'
  • yellowcard Anton Gaaei 77'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 83'
  • goal Chuba Akpom 89'

USV Hercules vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

USV Hercules

All competitions

Ajax

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.2%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for USV Hercules had a probability of 5.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (8.05%) and 1-3 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.62%), while for a USV Hercules win it was 2-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

USV Hercules 5.04%
Draw 8.76%
Ajax 86.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 82.06%
Under 2.5 17.94%
Over 3.5 64.9%
Under 3.5 35.1%
Over 4.5 45.82%
Under 4.5 54.18%

USV Hercules Goals

Over 0.5 57.82%
Under 0.5 42.17%
Over 1.5 21.41%
Under 1.5 78.59%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 97.23%
Under 0.5 2.77%
Over 1.5 87.29%
Under 1.5 12.71%

Score analysis

USV Hercules 5.04%
Draw 8.76%
Ajax 86.2%
USV Hercules
2-1 @ 1.56%
1-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 5.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.62%
2-2 @ 2.8%
0-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 8.76%
Ajax
0-3 @ 8.98%
0-4 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 7.52%
1-4 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-5 @ 5.77%
1-5 @ 4.99%
0-1 @ 4.19%
0-6 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 3.35%
2-4 @ 3%
1-6 @ 2.98%
2-5 @ 2.15%
0-7 @ 1.77%
1-7 @ 1.53%
2-6 @ 1.29%
Other @ 6%
Total : 86.2%