Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NEC in this match.