Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Heracles
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Polman Stadion
Ajax
  • Jizz Hornkamp 12' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 15' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 60' goal
  • Sava-Arangel Cestic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Brobbey 16'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 55'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 57'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 81'
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 84'

Heracles vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 5.45pm
Heracles 1 - 1 Volendam
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2024 3.45pm
Ajax 4 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Heracles 25.55% ▲ (+0.73)
Draw 19.71% ▲ (+0.19)
Ajax 54.74% ▼ (-0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.33% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.51% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 25.49% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 54.45% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 45.56% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 34.94% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 65.06% ▲ (+0.20)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 79.07% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 20.94% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 1.5 46.33% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 1.5 53.67% ▼ (-0.58)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 90.22% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 9.78% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 67.48% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 1.5 32.52% ▲ (+0.63)

Score analysis

Heracles 25.55%
Draw 19.71%
Ajax 54.74%
Heracles
2-1 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
4-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 25.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.71%
Ajax
1-2 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.10)
1-5 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.07)
3-4 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 54.74%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Ajax
Aug 12, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Heracles
  • Jakov Medic 45'+8' goal
  • Benjamin Tahirovic 61' yellowcard
  • Devyne Rensch 74' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Kudus 75' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 85' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Justin Hoogma 10'
  • goal Mario Engels 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 56'
  • yellowcard Mario Engels 58'
  • yellowcard Thomas Bruns 74'
  • yellowcard Bryan Limbombe 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Ajax
Feb 6, 2022 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Heracles
  • Edson Alvarez 7' yellowcard
  • Antony 11' yellowcard
  • Davy Klaassen 22' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 55' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaj Sierhuis 73'
  • yellowcard Navajo Bakboord 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Heracles
Oct 30, 2021 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ajax
  • Navajo Bakboord 11' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Quagliata 38' yellowcard
  • Marco Rente 58' yellowcard
  • Delano Burgzorg 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastien Haller 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Heracles
Feb 13, 2021 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Giacomo Quagliata 84' yellowcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 14'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Haller 66'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 79'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Ajax
Nov 22, 2020 11.15am
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Heracles
  • Lassina Traore 6' goal
  • David Neres 29' goal
  • Zakaria Labyad 36' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 57' goal
  • Zakaria Labyad 77' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Schoofs 8'
  • yellowcard Rai Vloet 39'
  • yellowcard Teun Bijleveld 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Heracles
Feb 23, 2020 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Erve Asito
Ajax
  • Mohammed Osman 41' yellowcard
  • Cyriel Dessers 77' goal
  • Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Gravenberch 61'
  • yellowcard Ryan Babel 70'

Form Data

Heracles 1 - 1 Volendam
RKC Waalwijk 1 - 2 Heracles
PSV 1 - 1 Heracles
Heracles 0 - 4 Feyenoord
Vitesse 2 - 0 Heracles
Heracles 0 - 1 Sparta
Ajax 4 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Go Ahead Eagles 2 - 3 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 1 Hannover
Ajax 0 - 3 Hannover
USV Hercules 3 - 2 Ajax
Ajax 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle