Eredivisie
Gameweek
18
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fwaalog.png)
-
Brian Brobbey
9'
-
Brian Brobbey
35'
-
Benjamin Tahirovic
38'
-
Kristian Hlynsson
64'
-
Steven Berghuis
87'
-
Michiel Kramer
15'
Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
68.66%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
16.73%
▲
(+0.04)
RKC Waalwijk
14.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
62.99%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.12%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
27.88%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
51.4%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 3.5
48.59%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
32.04%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 4.5
67.96%
▲
(+0.28)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
92.56%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
7.44%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
73.23%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
26.76%
▲
(+0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5
68.05%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
31.95%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
31.6%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
68.4%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Ajax
68.66%
Draw
16.73%
RKC Waalwijk
14.61%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.16%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 68.66%
2-0 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 68.66%
Draw
1-1
@
7.05%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.73%
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.73%
RKC Waalwijk
1-2
@
4.02%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 14.61%
0-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 14.61%
Head to Head
Eredivisie
Gameweek
7
-
Michiel Kramer
37'
-
Aaron Meijers
42'
-
Yassin Oukili
51'
-
Yassin Oukili
87'
-
Brian Brobbey
30'
-
Steven Bergwijn
43'
-
Steven Berghuis
57'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
21
-
Brian Brobbey
50'
-
Jurrien Maduro
78'
-
Mohammed Kudus
81'
-
Mats Seuntjens
17'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
11
-
Pelle Clement
40'
-
Steven Berghuis
22'
-
Steven Berghuis
53'
-
Brian Brobbey
62'
-
Brian Brobbey
81'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
22
-
Lisandro Martinez
15'
-
Sebastien Haller
33'
-
Sebastien Haller
37'
-
Devyne Rensch
53'
-
Dusan Tadic
90'
-
Dusan Tadic
90'+3'
-
Michiel Kramer
50'
-
Richard van der Venne
57'
-
Vurnon Anita
90'+2'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
12
-
Jurien Gaari
85'
-
Sebastien Haller
17'
-
Steven Berghuis
42'
-
Steven Berghuis
57'
-
Jurrien Maduro
74'
-
Sebastien Haller
83'
Eredivisie
Gameweek
29
-
Sebastien Haller
14'
-
Edson Alvarez
40'
-
Lisandro Martinez
73'