Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.

Result
Jong AZ	Draw	ADO Den Haag
34.72% ( -0.06)	24.35% ( 0.15)	40.93% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 59.8% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.12% (

-0.71)

42.88% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.71% (

-0.71)

65.28% (

0.71)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

-0.36)

24.24% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.4% (

-0.52)

58.6% (

0.52)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0.35)

21.06% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

-0.55)

53.86% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Jong AZ 34.72%

ADO Den Haag 40.93%

Draw 24.35%

Jong AZ	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.72%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.93%