Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
4 - 0
Jong AZ

Kostons (3'), Smeets (23', 81'), Rocha (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: Roda JC 1-0 MVV
Sunday, November 26 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 0-5 Groningen
Monday, November 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong AZ
30.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)23.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)45.2% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)63.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)25.82% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)60.78% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)18.64% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.96% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 31%
    Jong AZ 45.2%
    Draw 23.8%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong AZ
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 45.2%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 35
MVV
1-3
Jong AZ
Rocha (82')
Barasi (67' pen.), Stam (83'), Poku (90+4')
Aug 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 1
Jong AZ
3-1
MVV
Dekker (4'), Meerdink (51'), Allouch (82')
Twisk (16')
Engel (15' og.)
Waem (11'), Blummel (56')
Mar 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 27
MVV
2-3
Jong AZ
Blummel (54'), Dzepar (66')
Griffith (11'), Meerdink (68'), Taabouni (87')
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 14
Jong AZ
0-1
MVV

Jacobs (20'), Sedlacek (59')
Ntelo (68')
Waem (31'), Essers (59'), Souren (90')
Mar 12, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 28
MVV
3-2
Jong AZ
Mickels (17'), Dianessy (72'), Naudts (81')
Deom (73'), Surmeli (90+4')
Havekotte (26' og.), De Jong (48')
Lathouwers (55'), Franken (66')