Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.