Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Geusselt
De Graafschap

MVV
1 - 2
De Graafschap

Tasci (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Warmerdam (43'), Lammers (51')
Warmerdam (71')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Den Bosch 3-2 MVV
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 Helmond
Monday, September 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDe Graafschap
27.9% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)23.19% (0.068999999999999 0.07)48.91% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 60.46% (-0.297 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (-0.366 -0.37)40.51% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (-0.378 -0.38)62.89% (0.379 0.38)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.235 -0.23)27.34% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (-0.304 -0.3)62.79% (0.306 0.31)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.137 -0.14)16.78% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.26% (-0.246 -0.25)46.74% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 27.9%
    De Graafschap 48.91%
    Draw 23.19%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.31% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 48.91%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 36
De Graafschap
2-1
MVV
Haen (29'), Lukassen (90')
Van Bommel (31')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
MVV
2-2
De Graafschap
Souren (43'), Van Bommel (48')
Brittijn (24'), Fortes (90')
Mar 18, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 31
De Graafschap
1-3
MVV
Brittijn (11')
Gravenberch (83')
Lake (9'), Remans (56'), Blummel (74')
Lake (33'), Keulen (69'), Zeegers (79'), Remans (83')
Aug 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 2
MVV
1-3
De Graafschap
Blummel (23')
Delferriere (77')
Konings (13'), Korte (26'), Opoku (78' pen.)
Verbeek (45+2')
Feb 13, 2021 1.15pm
Gameweek 24
De Graafschap
1-0
MVV
Tutuarima (33')
rhs 2.0


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