Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	MVV Maastricht
64.55% ( 0.8)	19.08% ( -0.07)	16.36% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 58.09% (

-1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.06% (

-1.06)

35.94% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.97% (

-1.18)

58.03% (

1.18)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.49% (

-0.1)

10.51% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.81% (

-0.23)

34.18% (

0.23)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91% (

-1.49)

35.09% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16% (

-1.6)

71.84% (

1.6)

Score Analysis

Almere City 64.55%

MVV Maastricht 16.36%

Draw 19.08%

Almere City	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.94% Total : 64.55%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.08%	1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.54% Total : 16.36%