Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 2-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.