Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Jong AZ
58.45% ( -0.38)	21.07% ( 0.07)	20.48% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 59.03% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58% (

0.1)

38.42% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.29% (

0.1)

60.71% (

-0.11)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

-0.08)

12.92% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.65% (

-0.16)

39.35% (

0.16)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

0.35)

32.22% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

0.39)

68.71% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Almere City 58.45%

Jong AZ 20.48%

Draw 21.07%

Almere City	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.75% Total : 58.45%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.07%	1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 20.48%