Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.