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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Telstar

Steuckers (12'), van Bommel (20')
Kostons (62'), Rocha (86'), Souren (88'), van Bommel (89'), Vijgen (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Plet (80')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Telstar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 MVV
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-0 Willem II
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
40.99% (-0.132 -0.13) 24.23% (-0.02 -0.02) 34.78% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.27% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.121 0.12)42.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.123 0.12)64.68% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.41% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.139 0.14)23.92% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.201 0.2)58.14% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 40.99%
    Telstar 34.78%
    Draw 24.23%
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.99%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.78%

How you voted: MVV vs Telstar

MVV Maastricht
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Telstar
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7pm
gameweek 18
Telstar
5-3
MVV
Giousis (20'), Smit (28', 34', 49'), Plet (87')
Steuckers (24'), Kostons (56'), Van Helden (60')
Van Helden (51')
Jan 14, 2022 7pm
gameweek 22
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Plet (8'), Aktas (26')
Molenaar (73'), Smit (90+1')
Essers (90+1')
Essers (45+2'), Dzepar (45+2'), Zeegers (63'), Delferriere (75'), Mami (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 5
MVV
3-0
Telstar
Remans (13', 22'), Blummel (39')
Kleinen (11'), Zeegers (34')

Kokcu (54')
Feb 26, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 26
MVV
2-0
Telstar
Surmeli (50'), Angiulli (90+5')
Surmeli (54')

van Wetten (18'), Adshead (48'), F (86'), Pattynama (90+1')
Sep 13, 2020 7pm
gameweek 3
Telstar
1-2
MVV
Plet (64')
Vandermeulen (42')
Duin (42' pen.), Kostons (89')
Heerings (52'), Lathouwers (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II36229573324175
2Roda JC362012467323572
3Groningen36218768293971
4Dordrecht361813572492367
5ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag361711868452362
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap361951258481062
7NAC BredaNAC Breda36159126053754
8Jong AZJong AZ36158135657-153
9EmmenEmmen36156155558-351
10MVV MaastrichtMVV36148145958150
11Helmond SportHelmond36138154954-547
12Cambuur36137167071-146
13VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo36129155156-545
14Jong AjaxJong Ajax361010165363-1040
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven36816124355-1240
16TelstarTelstar3697204464-2034
17Jong PSVJong PSV3697205678-2234
18Den BoschDen Bosch3689193764-2733
19TOP OssOss36103233061-3133
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht3659222971-4224


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