Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 36
May 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion
Willem II

Telstar
0 - 0
Willem II

FT
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Den Bosch 0-1 Telstar
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 3-2 De Graafschap
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
TelstarDrawWillem II
24.64% (0.801 0.8)24.7% (0.352 0.35)50.66% (-1.155 -1.16)
Both teams to score 52.41% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.735 -0.73)49.77% (0.734 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.662 -0.66)71.78% (0.661 0.66)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.304 0.3)34.77% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.318 0.32)71.51% (-0.319 -0.32)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.744 -0.74)19.65% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (-1.227 -1.23)51.62% (1.226 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 24.64%
    Willem II 50.65%
    Draw 24.69%
TelstarDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.64%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.65%

How you voted: Telstar vs Willem II

Telstar
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Willem II
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 7pm
gameweek 3
Willem II
2-1
Telstar
Verreth (36'), Svensson (74')
Llonch (67'), Verreth (84'), Mathieu (90'), Smits (90+6')
Plet (58')
Soares (88')