Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
Sep 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Jesse Bosch 34' goal
  • Freek Heerkens 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matthias Verreth 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson 63' yellowcard
  • Freek Heerkens 69' goal
  • Joshua Smits 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tunahan Tasci 29'
  • yellowcard Marco Kleinen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tim Zeegers 56'

Willem II vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2023 9.30am
Willem II 1 - 4 NAC Breda
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jeredy Hilterman

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2023 7.00pm
MVV 2 - 1 Jong Ajax
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Dailon Rocha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result

Willem II 65.79% (-4.40)
Draw 19.25% (+1.46)
MVV Maastricht 14.96% (+2.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% (+3.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.36% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 39.64% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 38.01% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 61.99% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 20.56% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 79.44% (-0.13)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 88.75% (-1.09)
Under 0.5 11.25% (+1.08)
Over 1.5 64.17% (-2.41)
Under 1.5 35.83% (+2.41)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 60.83% (+4.46)
Under 0.5 39.17% (-4.46)
Over 1.5 24.12% (+3.93)
Under 1.5 75.88% (-3.94)

Score analysis

Willem II 65.78%
Draw 19.25%
MVV Maastricht 14.96%
Willem II
2-0 @ 10.51% (-1.08)
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.25)
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.52)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-1.18)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 4.18% (-0.87)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.33)
4-2 @ 1.84% (+0.11)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.48)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.20)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 65.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% (+0.61)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.64)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-82.95)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.25%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 4.23% (+0.74)
0-1 @ 4.13% (+0.45)
0-2 @ 1.94% (+0.41)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.35)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-95.18)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.96%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elton Kabangu 20' goal
  • Joeri Schroyen 90'+2' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Marco Kleinen 70' goal
  • Koen Kostons 86' goal
  • Rein Van Helden 90'+5' goal
  • goal Michael de Leeuw 4'
  • goal Nick Doodeman 18'