Willem II
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 1
MVV

Bosch (34'), Heerkens (69')
Heerkens (45+2'), Verreth (45+2'), Thor Sigurgeirsson (63'), Smits (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tasci (29')
Kleinen (45+1'), Zeegers (56')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-4 NAC Breda
Tuesday, September 5 at 9.30am in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 2-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawMVV Maastricht
65.79% (-4.39 -4.39)19.25% (1.459 1.46)14.96% (2.928 2.93)
Both teams to score 53.98% (3.342 3.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (0.149 0.15)39.64% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (0.155 0.16)61.99% (-0.157 -0.16)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (-1.082 -1.08)11.25% (1.078 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.17% (-2.41 -2.41)35.83% (2.408 2.41)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (4.452 4.45)39.17% (-4.455 -4.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (3.929 3.93)75.88% (-3.931 -3.93)
Score Analysis
    Willem II 65.78%
    MVV Maastricht 14.96%
    Draw 19.25%
Willem IIDrawMVV Maastricht
2-0 @ 10.51% (-1.08 -1.08)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.243 0.24)
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.512 -0.51)
3-0 @ 7.66% (-1.171 -1.17)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.18% (-0.862 -0.86)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.326 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.101 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.478 -0.48)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 65.78%
1-1 @ 9.02% (0.61 0.61)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.631 0.63)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.739 0.74)
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.449 0.45)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.409 0.41)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.34 0.34)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.356 0.36)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.96%

How you voted: Willem II vs MVV

Willem II
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
MVV Maastricht
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
Willem II
2-0
MVV
Kabangu (20'), Schroyen (90+2')
Sep 30, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 9
MVV
3-2
Willem II
Kleinen (70'), Kostons (86'), Van Helden (90+5')
De Leeuw (4'), Doodeman (18')