Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.