VVV-Venlo
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | First Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
De Koel
Willem II

VVV-Venlo
3 - 2
Willem II

Braken (41', 45+3' pen.), Venema (65')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Hornkamp (13', 36')
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs First Round clash between VVV-Venlo and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Roda JC 2-2 Willem II
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawWillem II
24.83% (0.09 0.09)24.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)50.86% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (-0.055 -0.05)48.02% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)70.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (0.046999999999997 0.05)33.67% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (0.050000000000001 0.05)70.32% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)18.89% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (-0.113 -0.11)50.37% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 24.83%
    Willem II 50.85%
    Draw 24.31%
VVV-VenloDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.28% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.83%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.85%

How you voted: 7th ranked lower div. vs 4th ranked lower div.

7th ranked lower div.
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
4th ranked lower div.
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 11.15am
gameweek 32
Willem II
2-1
VVV-Venlo
Hornkamp (31', 51')
Schroyen (90')
Braken (21')
de Boer (81')
Nov 11, 2022 7pm
gameweek 15
VVV-Venlo
0-0
Willem II

Hornkamp (52')
Jan 10, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 15
VVV-Venlo
2-1
Willem II
Giakoumakis (79' pen., 90+3')
Giakoumakis (87')
Van der Heijden (15')
van der Heijden (52'), Holmen (66')
Nov 21, 2020 5.45pm
gameweek 9
Willem II
2-1
VVV-Venlo
Pavlidis (7'), Saglam (18')
Llonch (62'), Tresor Ndayishimiye (86')
Giakoumakis (34')
Hunte (73')
Apr 4, 2020 6.45pm
gameweek 29
VVV-Venlo
P-P
Willem II