Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Willem II

Roda JC
2 - 2
Willem II

Vente (13'), Reith (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kabangu (44'), Bosch (50')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roda JC

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-1 Roda JC
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Roda JCDrawWillem II
30.18% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.41% (0.026 0.03)44.41% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.42% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)49.14% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (-0.081 -0.08)71.21% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)22.1% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.118 -0.12)55.46% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Roda JC 30.18%
    Willem II 44.41%
    Draw 25.4%
Roda JCDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.41%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
gameweek 19
Willem II
1-0
Roda JC
Kabangu (1')

Douglas (77')
Feb 25, 2018 1.30pm
Willem II
1-0
Roda JC
Rienstra (14')
Lewis (64')

Auassar (78')
Feb 1, 2018 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Willem II
2-2
Roda JC
 Willem II win 5-4 on penalties
Ogbeche (39'), Tsimikas (62')
Lewis (36'), Heerkens (77'), Tsimikas (79')
Gustafson (37' pen.), Avdijaj (48')
El Makrini (65'), Werker (98'), Auassar (103')
Sep 16, 2017 6.45pm
Roda JC
1-3
Willem II
Rosheuvel (45')
Gotz (72'), Gustafson (77')
Velikonja (5', 31'), Sol (23')
Chirivella (51'), Velikonja (67')
May 7, 2017 1.30pm
Roda JC
1-0
Willem II
Ajagun (90')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!