Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion

Dordrecht
2 - 2
MVV

Suray (69' pen., 70')
Tsoungui (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smeets (12'), Kostons (85')
Rocha (85')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Willem II 2-0 Dordrecht
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 1-3 MVV
Sunday, August 13 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
DordrechtDrawMVV Maastricht
39.84% (-0.422 -0.42)24.86% (0.098000000000003 0.1)35.29% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.411 -0.41)45.18% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-0.392 -0.39)67.52% (0.387 0.39)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)22.58% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.578 -0.58)56.18% (0.572 0.57)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)24.99% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)59.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dordrecht 39.84%
    MVV Maastricht 35.29%
    Draw 24.86%
DordrechtDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.29%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 33
MVV
2-1
Dordrecht
Van Bommel (45+3'), Essers (78')
Longo (90+1')
Sep 23, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
Dordrecht
1-2
MVV
Brito (28')
Steuckers (21'), Souren (50')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Dordrecht
3-1
MVV
El Azzouzi (52'), Conteh (67'), Meijer (83')
Mannes (61'), N'Diaye (90+4')
Dzepar (19')
Penders (36'), Waem (38'), Lake (84')
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
MVV
2-1
Dordrecht
Ntelo (17'), Remans (18')
Souren (28'), Zeegers (60'), Ntelo (65'), Blummel (82'), Waem (90+2')
N'Diaye (40')
Suray (16'), Schuurman (48'), Wielzen (86')
Suray (90+4')
Apr 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 35
Dordrecht
0-1
MVV

Aktas (70')
Blummel (90+5')
Salasiwa (50'), Van Acker (90+1')