Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4

Sep 5, 2023 at 9.30am UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 4
NAC Breda

Oosting (64')
van Berkel (5'), Bosch (37'), Bokila (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sejdiu (4', 74'), Haugen (29'), Van den Bergh (49')
Sejdiu (42'), Martina (53')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Eerste Divisie

Last Game: Groningen 0-0 Willem II
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NAC Breda

All competitions

Eerste Divisie

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 2-0 NAC Breda
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	NAC Breda
62.2% ( 0.92)	21.04% ( -0.3)	16.75% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 52.02% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

0.24)

44.31% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

0.24)

66.68% (

-0.24)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.32% (

0.36)

13.68% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.11% (

0.71)

40.88% (

-0.71)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26% (

-0.6)

39.73% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.59% (

-0.56)

76.4% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Willem II 62.2%

NAC Breda 16.75%

Draw 21.04%

Willem II	Draw	NAC Breda
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.2%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.04%	0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 16.75%