Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.