NAC Breda
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
2 - 1
Jong AZ

Janosek (41' pen., 43')
Garbett (5'), Van den Bergh (74'), Kemper (75'), Wernersson (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Addai (75' pen.)
Kalisvaart (4'), Stam (74')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 NAC Breda
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 1-0 Jong Utrecht
Monday, August 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NAC Breda in this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawJong AZ
46.93% (0.149 0.15)24.15% (0.032 0.03)28.92% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.88% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (-0.253 -0.25)44.26% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (-0.245 -0.24)66.64% (0.242 0.24)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)19% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)50.55% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (-0.255 -0.25)28.54% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.32 -0.32)64.33% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 46.93%
    Jong AZ 28.92%
    Draw 24.14%
NAC BredaDrawJong AZ
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.93%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.92%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 22
NAC Breda
5-1
Jong AZ
Herrmann (11'), Velanas (48' pen., 61', 89'), Banzuzi (67')
Van Aken (90')
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Jong AZ
4-0
NAC Breda
Barasi (18'), Allouch (51'), Griffith (60'), Meerdink (87')
Feb 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong AZ
0-2
NAC Breda
Bakker (22'), Velanas (90+2')
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 11
NAC Breda
1-0
Jong AZ
Bakker (24')
Azzagari (42'), Bakker (46')

Taabouni (27'), Duin (81')
Mar 8, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 27
Jong AZ
2-3
NAC Breda
Aboukhlal (50', 52')
De Rooij (20'), Immers (30'), Maria (71')
Rutten (26')