De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
2 - 1
Helmond

Onal (44', 55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marin Sesma (90')
Botos (59'), Ostrc (59'), Kaars (60')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-3 De Graafschap
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Oss
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawHelmond Sport
55.49% (0.127 0.13)23.61% (0.282 0.28)20.91% (-0.406 -0.41)
Both teams to score 51.2% (-1.463 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-1.654 -1.65)49.11% (1.656 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (-1.512 -1.51)71.18% (1.515 1.52)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56)17.55% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (-0.976 -0.98)48.09% (0.979 0.98)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.09% (-1.345 -1.35)37.91% (1.348 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (-1.329 -1.33)74.68% (1.334 1.33)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 55.48%
    Helmond Sport 20.91%
    Draw 23.6%
De GraafschapDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 11.57% (0.56 0.56)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.202 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Helmond

De Graafschap
100%
Draw
0.0%
Helmond Sport
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 27
De Graafschap
2-0
Helmond
Haen (15', 49')
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Helmond
0-2
De Graafschap
Neghli (5'), Kaandorp (12')
Apr 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
Helmond
0-4
De Graafschap

van Hove (3'), van der Meer (53')
Van Heertum (12'), Onal (42'), Neghli (62', 90+1')
Lelieveld (71')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
De Graafschap
0-1
Helmond

Schuurman (70'), van de Pavert (90+7')
Seys (86')
Seys (90+5'), Reith (90+5'), Havekotte (90+7')
May 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 38
De Graafschap
0-0
Helmond
Tutuarima (9'), Lieftink (20'), Platje (81')
Van Keilegom (90+5')