Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sportcomplex De Herdgang

Jong PSV
2 - 1
Helmond

Abed (39'), van den Heuvel (72')
Jimenez (57'), Abed (87'), Kuhn (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Amuzu (85')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong PSV

All competitions
Last Game: Oss 4-1 Jong PSV
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 1-0 Den Bosch
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.

Result
Jong PSVDrawHelmond Sport
40.81% (-0.325 -0.32)27.22% (0.195 0.2)31.97% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)55.8% (0.712 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (-0.588 -0.59)76.93% (0.584 0.58)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)26.86% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (-0.672 -0.67)62.17% (0.667 0.67)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.279 -0.28)32.29% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.317 -0.32)68.79% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Jong PSV 40.81%
    Helmond Sport 31.97%
    Draw 27.21%
Jong PSVDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.67% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.194 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Jong PSV vs Helmond

Jong PSV
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Helmond Sport
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
Helmond
3-0
Jong PSV
Goselink (20', 49'), Van Keilegom (57')
Oct 24, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 12
Jong PSV
6-0
Helmond
Bakayoko (11' pen.), Savio (38'), Tielemans (51', 68'), Colyn (59'), Van Duiven (88')
Feb 4, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong PSV
2-0
Helmond
Fofana (21'), Nassoh (56')

Lion (32'), Bastiaans (83')
Aug 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 4
Helmond
1-0
Jong PSV
Van der Meer (66')
Seys (83')

Antonisse (83')
Feb 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 24
Jong PSV
2-2
Helmond
Sambo (63'), Daverveld (90+4')
Fofana (36'), Bakayoko (54'), Daverveld (89')
Duijvestijn (71', 79')
Joppen (36'), Stans (53'), De Bie (78'), Vereijken (89')