Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.