Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.