Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Frans Heesen Stadion

Oss
2 - 0
Jong Utrecht

Zimmerman (9'), van Peer (90+1')
Mulder (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

El Arguioui (44'), Blake (54'), Held (69')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between TOP Oss and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

TOP Oss

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-0 Oss
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 4-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TOP Oss would win this match.

Result
TOP OssDrawJong FC Utrecht
45.17% (-0.719 -0.72)24.95% (0.444 0.44)29.88% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-1.328 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-1.814 -1.81)47.29% (1.815 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (-1.707 -1.71)69.52% (1.708 1.71)
TOP Oss Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (-1.055 -1.05)20.98% (1.057 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (-1.675 -1.68)53.74% (1.677 1.68)
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)29.41% (0.725 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.895 -0.9)65.4% (0.895 0.89)
Score Analysis
    TOP Oss 45.17%
    Jong FC Utrecht 29.88%
    Draw 24.95%
TOP OssDrawJong FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.416 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.17%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.455 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.414 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.88%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Jong Utrecht
4-2
Oss
Rijks (12' pen.), Hilderink (16' og.), Augustinus-Jensen (31'), Van de Haar (90+4')
Mathieu (8'), Margaritha (90+1')
Aug 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 1
Oss
3-0
Jong Utrecht
Margaritha (11'), Mathieu (38' pen., 84' pen.)
Margaritha (71'), Dekker (81')

Timber (37')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Oss
4-1
Jong Utrecht
Buttner (13'), Stuy van den Herik (31'), Tejan (37'), Margaritha (39')
Rijks (70')
Ikeshita (71')
Oct 22, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 12
Jong Utrecht
2-1
Oss
El Azrak (21'), Venema (85')
Tejan (64')
Dogan (80'), Kaak (84')
Apr 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Oss
0-4
Jong Utrecht

Kaak (54')
Hilterman (24' pen., 46'), Alou (43'), Oehlers (82')
Huizing (63')