Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.