Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.