Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 57.88%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	Jong Ajax
57.88% ( 0.09)	19.98% ( 0.01)	22.14% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 65.77% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.19% (

-0.19)

30.8% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.84% (

-0.22)

52.15% (

0.22)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.32% (

-0.04)

10.67% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.44% (

-0.08)

34.56% (

0.08)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

-0.19)

26.37% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48% (

-0.25)

61.51% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 57.88%

Jong Ajax 22.14%

Draw 19.98%

Cambuur	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.88%	1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.98%	1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.14%