Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
Groningen4 - 1Jong Ajax
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Groningen and Jong Ajax.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Groningen 0-5 Sparta
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Jong Ajax |
54.78% ( 0.14) | 21.3% ( -0.01) | 23.92% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
