Groningen
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

Groningen
4 - 1
Jong Ajax

Rente (32'), Postema (55'), Suslov (72'), Hove (90+5')
Peersman (84'), Balker (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rasmussen (84')
Hlynsson (24'), Gooijer (84')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Groningen and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last Game: Groningen 0-5 Sparta
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawJong Ajax
54.78% (0.142 0.14)21.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.92% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 63.21% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.86% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)35.14% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.85% (-0.111 -0.11)57.14% (0.109 0.11)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)12.92% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)39.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.16 -0.16)27.41% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (-0.206 -0.21)62.88% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 54.78%
    Jong Ajax 23.92%
    Draw 21.3%
GroningenDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.3%
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 23.92%

How you voted: Groningen vs Jong Ajax

Groningen
100%
Draw
0.0%
Jong Ajax
0.0%
5