Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 56.81%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.42%) and 0-1 (6.95%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
