Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.