Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Roda JC
1 - 0
MVV

Daneels (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kleinen (74'), Labylle (90'), Labylle (90')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Roda JC and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambuur 1-1 Roda JC
Sunday, November 19 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 1-4 NAC Breda
Sunday, November 19 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.

Result
Roda JCDrawMVV Maastricht
63.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)19.34% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)17.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 58.79% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.23% (0.069999999999993 0.07)35.77% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.16% (0.079000000000001 0.08)57.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Roda JC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)10.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.38% (0.052999999999997 0.05)34.62% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.046000000000006 0.05)34.16% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.047000000000001 0.05)70.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Roda JC 63.59%
    MVV Maastricht 17.08%
    Draw 19.34%
Roda JCDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 63.59%
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.08%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 23
Roda JC
2-1
MVV
Roseler (59'), Douglas (67')
Waem (20')
Sep 4, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 5
MVV
1-1
Roda JC
Steuckers (5')
Postema (90')
Jan 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 21
Roda JC
1-0
MVV
Pflucke (47')
Bouchouari (35')

van Bommel (32'), Alberg (53'), Remans (58')
Nov 29, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 13
MVV
1-1
Roda JC
Ntelo (57')
Keulen (81')
Emmers (62')
Apr 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
MVV
2-4
Roda JC
Deom (12'), Mickels (19')
Soumaoro (41'), Blummel (66'), Deom (71'), Kostons (76')
Van Acker (50')
Pflucke (23'), Jensen (34', 62'), Serrarens (42')
Bouchouari (11')