Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Roda JC	Draw	Willem II
41.53% ( 0.41)	25.12% ( 0.18)	33.34% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 56.7% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.24% (

-0.98)

46.76% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.97% (

-0.93)

69.02% (

0.92)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56% (

-0.22)

22.44% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03% (

-0.34)

55.97% (

0.33)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1% (

-0.84)

26.89% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.78% (

-1.11)

62.21% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Roda JC 41.53%

Willem II 33.34%

Draw 25.12%

Roda JC	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.34%