Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.