Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Roda JC
42.25% ( -0.14)	25.17% ( 0.01)	32.58% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 56.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

-0.02)

47.18% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

-0.02)

69.42% (

0.02)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

-0.07)

22.28% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

-0.11)

55.73% (

0.11)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

0.08)

27.57% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

0.09)

63.1% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 42.25%

Roda JC 32.58%

Draw 25.17%

NAC Breda	Draw	Roda JC
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.25%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.58%