Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 79.68%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 6.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.84%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Den Bosch
79.68% ( 0.2)	13.73% ( -0.01)	6.59% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 41.76% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

-0.76)

38.74% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

-0.81)

61.05% (

0.81)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.29% (

-0.12)

7.71% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.52% (

-0.32)

27.48% (

0.32)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.25% (

-1.08)

54.75% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.27% (

-0.66)

87.73% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Willem II 79.68%

Den Bosch 6.59%

Draw 13.73%

Willem II	Draw	Den Bosch
2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 79.68%	1-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.48% Total : 13.73%	0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.08% Total : 6.59%