Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.