Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.