Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.