Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.