Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Trainingscomplex
De Graafschap

Jong AZ
3 - 0
De Graafschap

Meerdink (54' pen.), Addai (57'), Reverson (90+3')
Schouten (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Warmerdam (48'), Onal (58'), Lammers (73')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong AZ and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 3-0 Oss
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 Groningen
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Jong AZDrawDe Graafschap
36.47% (0.378 0.38)23.53% (-0.258 -0.26)39.99% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 63.17% (1.031 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38% (1.322 1.32)38.62% (-1.323 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07% (1.383 1.38)60.92% (-1.386 -1.39)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.79000000000001 0.79)21.35% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (1.207 1.21)54.32% (-1.208 -1.21)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.509 0.51)19.67% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.82 0.82)51.66% (-0.822 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Jong AZ 36.47%
    De Graafschap 39.99%
    Draw 23.53%
Jong AZDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.115 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.59% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 39.99%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Jong AZ
0-1
De Graafschap
Buttner (43' pen.)
Sep 30, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 9
De Graafschap
2-0
Jong AZ
Benschop (13'), De Jong (53')
Mar 4, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
De Graafschap
0-0
Jong AZ
Sep 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 6
Jong AZ
2-1
De Graafschap
Koopmeiners (13'), Barasi (61')
Berkhout (52')
Lieftink (48')
Fortes (90+4')
Feb 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
De Graafschap
1-1
Jong AZ
Van Mieghem (43')
van Huizen (78')
Velthuis (79')
Duin (40'), Berkhout (88')
rhs 2.0


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