Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.