Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 61.24%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 19.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (5.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.