Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.