Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.