VVV-Venlo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Covebo Stadion - De Koel
Cambuur

VVV-Venlo
1 - 2
Cambuur

Sedlacek (78')
Timber (66'), Sedlacek (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
De Jong (5'), Smit (18')
Bergsma (46'), Minnema (90+5'), Smit (90'), van Kaam (90+3')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Cambuur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VVV-Venlo 1-3 Willem II
Friday, November 17 at 8pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-1 Roda JC
Sunday, November 19 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.42%) and 0-1 (5.29%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cambuur in this match.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawCambuur
34.13%21.81%44.05%
Both teams to score 69.28% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.27%51.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81%50.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.87%
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 34.13%
    Cambuur 44.05%
    Draw 21.81%
VVV-VenloDrawCambuur
2-1 @ 7.4%
1-0 @ 4.62%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.96%
2-0 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 7.1%
0-0 @ 2.76%
3-3 @ 2.53%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.07%
2-3 @ 4.54%
0-3 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.18%
0-4 @ 1.56%
3-4 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 44.05%